South Africa’s summer grains and oilseed production for 2024-25 is projected at 18.74 million tonnes, marking a 21% increase from the previous year and a 2% rise since June, according to the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa (Agbiz).
Maize output is forecast at 15.03 million tonnes, 17% higher than last season and exceeding national requirements of around 12 million tonnes, keeping the country on track as a net maize exporter. Soybean production is expected to reach 2.72 million tonnes, a 47% increase year-on-year. Sunflower seed yields are projected at 708,300 tonnes, up 12%, while sorghum and dry bean outputs are estimated at 137,970 tonnes and 74,299 tonnes, reflecting increases of 41% and 47%, respectively. Groundnut and sunflower seed estimates have been revised downward by 3%.
The rise in production is attributed to expanded plantings and favourable summer rainfall. Recent quality issues and slower maize harvesting are expected to have limited impact on overall milling and food supply volumes, though they may affect farm profitability. Commodity prices for key grains have generally softened compared with last year, which could ease pressures on consumer food price inflation.
Agbiz highlights that the strong harvest represents a significant recovery in South Africa’s grains and oilseeds sector, supporting both domestic supply stability and export capacity, despite ongoing operational and market challenges.